Talks and Presentations
2007
2006
Professor Lenny Smith contributed to the workshop: "Applying Complex Modelling Techniques to Sustainability Challenges", at the European Commission in Brussels, 16th June 2006. (Summary notes) |
Conference: '20 years of Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences', Rhodes, Greece, June 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "Insights from a Century of Forecast Errors: The Evolving Role of Nonlinearity in Operational Forecast Systems" (abstract); CATS Visiting Research Fellow Kevin Judd gave a talk: "Weather Forecasting: it's about Dynamics, it's not about Statistics" (abstract). |
Royal Society, London, conference "Environmental Hazards & Risk Communication", April 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "On the Risks of Miscommunicating Risk in Decision Support and Policy" (abstract) |
British Embassy, Stockholm, science seminar Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Arctic, March 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "Seeing Through Geophysical Models: Moving Beyond Naive Realism" (abstract) |
WWRP/THORPEX Scientific Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, February 2006: "Improving the Global Predictability of High Impact Weather And a review of Southern Hemisphere Plans for THORPEX" (talk abstract to follow) |
Professor Lenny Smith presented seminars on 'Decision Making' for graduate students of the l'Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie on a training course entitled: "Observer, Prévoir, Décider: Météorologie science de l'ingénieur" in Toulouse, France, February 2006.Seminar A, Seminar B, Seminar C |
NAPSTER (Nonlinear Analysis and Prediction Statistics from Timeseries and Ensemble-forecast Realisations): project presentation by Dr Liam Clarke, London, February 2006. (abstract) |
Professor Lenny Smith presented a discussion at the Oikos International Roundtable: Meeting the Risk of Climate Change: Management or Prevention?, LSE, London, January 2006. (abstract) |
Talks prior to 2006
Title |
Speaker |
Date |
Location |
Abstract |
Talk: "Towards Intuitive Measures for Real-world Verification of Ensemble Forecasts (Or: How Much Does a Hi-Resolution Model Run Add to an Ensemble)" at: Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey |
LA Smith |
19 Dec 05 |
NRL, Monterey, USA |
abstract
|
Talk: "Betting on the Forecast: Methods for Risk Management, Information Identification, and Resource Allocation in an Ensemble Weather Prediction System" at: Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA) |
LA Smith |
14 Dec 2005 |
COLA, USA |
abstract
|
Talk: "How can we best combine forecasts for added value?" |
L Clarke |
2004 |
THORPEX |
abstract talk
|
CARR conference - Better Risk Management Through Improved Empirical Insight |
A Andrianova |
17 Sept 2004 |
London, UK |
abstract
|
EGU2004 Conference - various presentations |
All |
25-30 April |
Nice, France |
EGU
|
Detecting Unstable Periodic Orbits from Data Streams |
L Clarke |
25 May |
Oxford, UK |
pdf
|
Finding Unstable Periodic Orbits in Experimental Data |
L Clarke |
25 May |
Oxford, UK |
|
Ensemble Random Analog Prediction method and testing ERAP using fake weather data |
A Andrianova |
Nov 2003 |
London, UK |
pdf
|
Parameter Estimation |
M C Cuellar |
20 May 2004 |
Wokingham, UK |
pdf
|
Parameter Estimation of Chaotic Time Series |
M C Cuellar |
28 Nov 2003 |
London, UK |
pdf
|
Performance of MCMC Techniques on Surrogate Data |
M C Cuellar |
24 Nov 2003 |
Oxford, UK |
pdf
|
Bayesian Inference for Deterministic Systems |
M C Cuellar |
26 Nov 2002 |
Oxford, UK |
pdf
|
Performance of MCMC Techniques for Parameter Estimation of Non-linear Dynamical Systems |
M C Cuellar |
27 Sept 2002 |
North Carolina, USA |
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