Talks and Presentations

Page contents > 2007 | 2006 | Talks prior to 2006

2007

MSRI Symposium on Climate Change: From Global Models to Local Action, Berkeley, USA. April 2007.
Professor Lenny Smith presented a talk: "Valued Foresight or Useless Arithmetic: Extrapolation Models in the Service of Decision Support and Policy". 

CATS members gave a number of presentations at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly, April 2007See EGU2007 for abstracts.

ECMWF Verification workshop, 29th Jan - 2nd Feb 2007, sponsored by WMO/WCRP/WWRP/COST.  Professor Lenny Smith with Dr Jochen Broecker and Hailiang Du gave two presentations: 1. Ensemble Forecasts: An Introduction to Their Statistics, Value and Application and  2. Forecasting with the NAG Board: Results and Winners

2006

Professor Lenny Smith contributed to the workshop: "Applying Complex Modelling Techniques to Sustainability Challenges", at the European Commission in Brussels, 16th June 2006. (Summary notes)

Conference: '20 years of Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences', Rhodes, Greece, June 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "Insights from a Century of Forecast Errors:  The Evolving Role of Nonlinearity in Operational Forecast Systems" (abstract); CATS Visiting Research Fellow Kevin Judd gave a talk:  "Weather Forecasting: it's about Dynamics, it's not about Statistics" (abstract).

Royal Society, London, conference "Environmental Hazards & Risk Communication", April 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "On the Risks of Miscommunicating Risk in Decision Support and Policy" (abstract)

British Embassy, Stockholm, science seminar ‘Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Arctic’, March 2006. Professor Lenny Smith gave a talk: "Seeing Through Geophysical Models: Moving Beyond Naive Realism" (abstract)

WWRP/THORPEX Scientific Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, February 2006: "Improving the Global Predictability of High Impact Weather And a review of Southern Hemisphere Plans for THORPEX"  (talk abstract to follow)

Professor Lenny Smith presented seminars on 'Decision Making' for graduate students of the l'Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie on a training course entitled: "Observer, Prévoir, Décider: Météorologie science de l'ingénieur"  in Toulouse, France, February 2006.Seminar A, Seminar B, Seminar C

NAPSTER (Nonlinear Analysis and Prediction Statistics from Timeseries and Ensemble-forecast Realisations): project presentation by Dr Liam Clarke, London, February 2006. (abstract)

Professor Lenny Smith presented a discussion at the Oikos International Roundtable: Meeting the Risk of Climate Change: Management or Prevention?, LSE, London, January 2006. (abstract)

 

Talks prior to 2006

Title

Speaker

Date

Location

Abstract

Talk: "Towards Intuitive Measures for Real-world Verification of Ensemble Forecasts (Or: How Much Does a Hi-Resolution Model Run Add to an Ensemble)"
at: Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey

LA Smith

19 Dec 05

NRL, Monterey, USA

abstract

 Talk: "Betting on the Forecast: Methods for Risk Management, Information Identification, and Resource Allocation in an Ensemble Weather Prediction System"
at: Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA)

LA Smith

14 Dec 2005

COLA, USA

abstract

Talk: "How can we best combine forecasts for added value?"

L Clarke

2004

THORPEX

abstract
talk

CARR conference - Better Risk Management Through Improved Empirical Insight

A Andrianova

17 Sept 2004

London, UK

abstract

EGU2004 Conference - various presentations

All

25-30 April 

Nice, France

EGU

Detecting Unstable Periodic Orbits from Data Streams

L Clarke

25 May

Oxford, UK

pdf

Finding Unstable Periodic Orbits in Experimental Data

L Clarke

25 May

Oxford, UK

 

Ensemble Random Analog Prediction method and testing ERAP using fake weather data

A Andrianova

Nov 2003

London, UK

pdf

Parameter Estimation

M C Cuellar

20 May 2004

Wokingham, UK

pdf

Parameter Estimation of Chaotic Time Series

M C Cuellar

28 Nov 2003

London, UK

pdf

Performance of MCMC Techniques on Surrogate Data

M C Cuellar

24 Nov 2003

Oxford, UK

pdf

Bayesian Inference for Deterministic Systems

M C Cuellar

26 Nov 2002

Oxford, UK

pdf

Performance of MCMC Techniques for Parameter Estimation of  Non-linear Dynamical Systems

M C Cuellar

27 Sept 2002

North Carolina, USA

 

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