A Very Short Introduction to Chaos. Oxford University Press (2007). A contribution to the OUP "A Very Short Introduction" series, focused on chaos and prediction.

K Judd & LA Smith (2004) Indistinguishable States II: The Imperfect Model Scenario (PDF) Physica D 196: 224-242

F Kwasniok & LA Smith (2004) Real-time Construction of Optimized Predictions from Data Streams Phys.Rev. Lett. 92 (16)

PE McSharry and LA Smith (2004) Consistent Nonlinear Dynamics: identifying model inadequacy, Physica D 192: 1-22

D Orrell & LA Smith (2003) Visualising bifurcations in high dimensional systems: The spectral bifurcation diagram (2003) Int. J. Bif Chaos 13 (10): 3015-3027

A Guerrero & LA Smith (2003) Towards coherent estimation of correlation dimension (PDF) Phys. Lett. A 318 373-379.

LA Smith (2003) Predictability Past Predictability Present (PDF). In 2002 ECMWF Seminar on Predictability. pg 219-242. ECMWF, Reading, UK

MS Roulston & LA Smith (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory (PDF), Monthly Weather Review 130 6: 1653-1660.

LA Smith, (2002) What might we learn from climate forecasts? (PDF) Proc. National Acad. Sci. USA 4 (99): 2487-2492

JA Hansen & LA Smith (2001) Probabilistic Noise Reduction. Tellus 53 A (5): 585-598.

K Judd & LA Smith (2001) Indistinguishable states I: the perfect model scenario (PDF) Physica D 151: 125-141

LA Smith (2000) 'Disentangling Uncertainty and Error: On the Predictability of Nonlinear Systems' (PDF) in Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics, ed. Alistair I. Mees, Boston: Birkhauser, 31-64

LA Smith (2000) Limits to Predictability in 2000 and 2100, in Proceedings of IEEE 2000 Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control Symposium, ed. S. Haykin (IEEE, Piscataway), pg 129-134. (Figure 1)

C Ziehmann, LA Smith & J Kurths (2000), Localized Lyapunov Exponents and the Prediction of Predictability (PDF) Phys. Lett. A, 271 (4): 237-251

LA Smith, C Ziehmann & K Fraedrich (1999) Uncertainty dynamics and predictability in chaotic systems (PDF) Quart. J. Royal Meteorological Soc. 125: 2855-2886

C Ziehmann, LA Smith & J Kurths (1999) The bootstrap and Lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos (PDF) Physica D, 126 (1-2): 49-59

L.A. Smith (1997) 'The Maintenance of Uncertainty' (PDF) in Proc International School of Physics "Enrico Fermi", Course CXXXIII, pg 177-246, Societ`a Italiana di Fisica, Bologna, Italy

I. Gilmour & L.A. Smith (1997) Enlightenment in shadows. In Applied nonlinear dynamics and stochastic systems near the millennium, pg 335-340. Ed. J.B. Kadtke and A. Bulsara. AIP, New York

F. Paparella, A. Provenzale, L.A. Smith, C. Taricco & R. Vio (1997) Local random analogue prediction of nonlinear processes. Phys. Lett. A 235 (3): 233-240.

L.A. Smith (1995) Accountability and Error in Ensemble Forecasting (PDF). In 1995 ECMWF Seminar on Predictability. Vol 1, pg 351-368. ECMWF, Reading, UK

J. Theiler & L.A. Smith (1995) Anomalous convergence of Lyapunov exponent estimates (PDF). Physical Review E, 51 (4): 3738-3741. Part B

L.A. Smith (1991) Applied Chaos: Quantifying Complex Systems, in Information Dynamics , pg 97-102, Ed. H. Atmanspacher, et al. NATO ASI Series B, Vol 256, Plenum Press, New York